{"id":32746,"date":"2021-02-19T18:16:56","date_gmt":"2021-02-19T18:16:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elregionalvm.com.ar\/noticias-villa-maria\/?p=32746"},"modified":"2021-02-23T03:11:49","modified_gmt":"2021-02-23T03:11:49","slug":"la-caida-del-dolar-y-un-respiro-para-la-economia-argentina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elregionalvm.com.ar\/noticias-villa-maria\/la-caida-del-dolar-y-un-respiro-para-la-economia-argentina\/","title":{"rendered":"La ca\u00edda del d\u00f3lar y un respiro para la econom\u00eda argentina"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Escribe: Julio C\u00e9sar Nieto<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
La debilidad de la principal divisa del mundo vuelve al centro de la escena en los mercados financieros internacionales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La megaemisi\u00f3n del pa\u00eds del norte, impulsada por los paquetes de asistencia a fin de paliar los coletazos del coronavirus, gener\u00f3 una devaluaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar, que ya perdi\u00f3 un 8,5% en el \u00faltimo a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Seg\u00fan datos de la banca central norteamericana: FED (Federal Reserve System), el volumen de d\u00f3lares ha pasado de US$15,33 billones a fines de 2019 a US$19,1 billones tras la salida del presidente Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La emisi\u00f3n u oferta monetaria se ha incrementado en casi un 24%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
M\u00e1s a\u00fan, tras el triunfo de Joe Biden, la nueva secretaria del Tesoro de Estados Unidos, Janet Yellen inst\u00f3 en el Capitolio a que \u00abact\u00faen en grande\u00bb en alusi\u00f3n a un programa de ayuda por el coronavirus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Esta nueva masa monetaria en circulaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda generar inflaci\u00f3n en Estados Unidos ofreciendo un inesperado respiro a las econom\u00edas de Am\u00e9rica Latina, devastadas por los efectos de la cuarentena.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Esto, en parte, explica por qu\u00e9 en las \u00faltimas semanas en algunos pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n se ha notado una bajada del d\u00f3lar de entre el 10% y el 15% frente a sus divisas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\nAlgunos sostienen que se debe a que el a\u00f1o pasado muchas empresas y personas se \u00absobredolarizaron\u00bb a la espera de una devaluaci\u00f3n.<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00bfUn d\u00f3lar d\u00e9bil ayuda a Argentina?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n
En nuestro pa\u00eds, el d\u00f3lar libre cerr\u00f3 a $149, casi $6 por debajo del \u201csolidario\u201d, precio al que lo venden los bancos despu\u00e9s del recargo del 65% (Impuesto PAIS + la percepci\u00f3n a cuenta de Ganancias y Bienes Personales).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
La baja de los \u00faltimos 45 d\u00edas ha sorprendido a varios operadores y analistas, que buscan explicar c\u00f3mo el d\u00f3lar blue o paralelo cotiza por debajo del d\u00f3lar solidario u oficial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Algunos sostienen que tal situaci\u00f3n se debe a que el a\u00f1o pasado muchas empresas y personas se \u00absobredolarizaron\u00bb a la espera de una devaluaci\u00f3n; as\u00ed como tambi\u00e9n la idea de un equilibrio estacional debido a la baja en la demanda de d\u00f3lares por parte del turismo internacional restringido por la pandemia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Es importante entender que cuando el tipo de cambio peso\/d\u00f3lar sube, la carga de todas las obligaciones en la divisa norteamericana es cada vez mayor. Pero con este descenso, dicha presi\u00f3n se reduce.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Por otro lado, al ser Argentina un pa\u00eds exportador de materias primas, el impacto de una depreciaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar es menos importante, ya que de ayudar un poco depender\u00e1 de la confianza que el pa\u00eds y su dirigencia genere, considerando la posibilidad en medio de un nuevo conflicto con el campo de tener una mala cosecha ,lo que har\u00eda un a\u00f1o horrible independientemente de la divisa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A ciencia cierta, lo que mueve o determina la cotizaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar en un pa\u00eds es la confianza y el manejo tanto de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica como de la monetaria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
En los \u00faltimos d\u00edas, las magras se\u00f1ales del Gobierno en cuanto su iniciativa en controlar nuevamente los precios, las se\u00f1ales de renegociaci\u00f3n con el FMI y los intentos de restricci\u00f3n y\/o regulaci\u00f3n de divisas o criptomonedas (hoy en el ojo de la tormenta mundial) ser\u00e1n la prueba de fuego en un a\u00f1o donde se necesitar\u00e1 llegar a las legislativas de agosto\/octubre con la econom\u00eda en calma.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Escribe: Julio C\u00e9sar Nieto La debilidad de la principal divisa del mundo vuelve al centro de la escena en los mercados financieros internacionales. La megaemisi\u00f3n del pa\u00eds del norte, impulsada por los paquetes de asistencia a fin de paliar los coletazos del coronavirus, gener\u00f3 una devaluaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar, que ya perdi\u00f3 un 8,5% en el […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":32845,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"_joinchat":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[2067,3557],"tags":[415,7214,7215,903,505,6878,1560,2467,4349,7216],"class_list":["post-32746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","category-tercera","tag-argentina","tag-caida-cotizacion","tag-divisa","tag-dolar","tag-economia","tag-elecciones-legislativas","tag-estados-unidos","tag-inflacion","tag-mercado-financiero","tag-politica-economica"],"yoast_head":"\n
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