{"id":37697,"date":"2021-05-15T02:10:07","date_gmt":"2021-05-15T02:10:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/elregionalvm.com.ar\/noticias-villa-maria\/?p=37697"},"modified":"2021-05-17T01:16:38","modified_gmt":"2021-05-17T01:16:38","slug":"santa-soja-aprovechar-el-viento-de-cola-o-tropezar-con-la-misma-piedra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/elregionalvm.com.ar\/noticias-villa-maria\/santa-soja-aprovechar-el-viento-de-cola-o-tropezar-con-la-misma-piedra\/","title":{"rendered":"Santa Soja: \u00bfAprovechar el viento de cola o tropezar con la misma piedra?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Si bien en las \u00faltimas horas hubo un descenso del precio de la soja en Chicago por debajo de los 600 d\u00f3lares, la nueva cotizaci\u00f3n marca una vez m\u00e1s un techo hist\u00f3rico favorable para pa\u00edses con escasez de d\u00f3lares y desequilibrios fiscales como el nuestro.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Escribe: Julio C\u00e9sar Nieto<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El \u201cyuyito\u201d como lo llam\u00f3 en alguna que otra oportunidad la expresidenta CFK, alcanz\u00f3 en la semana un nuevo pico cotizando a 603 d\u00f3lares la tonelada en el mercado de Chicago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mientras en Argentina, principal exportador en la regi\u00f3n y con necesidad inmediata de adquirir d\u00f3lares para sus obligaciones de deuda (FMI y Club de Par\u00eds), los analistas locales del mercado de granos recordaron que los productores argentinos no perciben el precio externo por los efectos de las retenciones y el desdoblamiento cambiario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carlos Etchepare, asegur\u00f3: \u201cCuando se exporta una tonelada de soja entran al pa\u00eds 595 d\u00f3lares, de los cuales el 90% a 95% queda en las arcas del Gobierno. Despu\u00e9s hay un margen para la industria aceitera. El productor argentino hoy est\u00e1 cobrando entre 33 mil y 34 mil pesos, olvid\u00e9monos de 600 d\u00f3lares y con lo que reciben no compras 600 d\u00f3lares. Comprar\u00e1s en el mercado de la bolsa 220 d\u00f3lares. El mercado est\u00e1 planteado para que la Argentina tenga una gran posibilidad\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

D\u00edas atr\u00e1s, el economista y analista financiero cordob\u00e9s Franco Tealdi en una entrevista para El Regional <\/a><\/strong>manifest\u00f3 y pronostic\u00f3 un alza en la cotizaci\u00f3n de los commodities teniendo a la soja como principal \u00abcaballito de batalla a la hora de adquirir d\u00f3lares genuinos para apaciguar las diferentes brechas cambiarias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Las razones <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

La disparada de la soja hasta USD 50 d\u00f3lares de diferencia de su r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico, anotado en 2012, se explica por la potencia de la recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica mundial luego del freno que caus\u00f3 el coronavirus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La demanda de alimentos por parte de China crece a toda velocidad mientras que ni los stocks acumulados en los principales pa\u00edses productores ni las previsiones de producci\u00f3n futura alcanzan para equilibrar la balanza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El principal impacto de esta coyuntura tender\u00eda a ayudar a calmar el frente cambiario estimando que -seg\u00fan la Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario (BCR)- la recaudaci\u00f3n rondar\u00eda en torno a USD 3.000 millones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Como consecuencia, al pa\u00eds se le presenta una vez m\u00e1s una oportunidad hist\u00f3rica en un contexto internacional favorable en cuanto a la demanda de un bien que no consume y que produce en abundancia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00bfAprovechar\u00e1 un nuevo viento de cola o seguir\u00e1 tropezando con la misma piedra?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Si bien en las \u00faltimas horas hubo un descenso del precio de la soja en Chicago por debajo de los 600 d\u00f3lares, la nueva cotizaci\u00f3n marca una vez m\u00e1s un techo hist\u00f3rico favorable para pa\u00edses con escasez de d\u00f3lares y desequilibrios fiscales como el nuestro. Escribe: Julio C\u00e9sar Nieto El \u201cyuyito\u201d como lo llam\u00f3 en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":37750,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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